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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – August 18th, 2025

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This will be the first release of the CPI and PPI report data wherein the data collected and used to determine the current inflation has been reduced. The Producer Price Index has shown quite clearly that there has been the biggest whole price jump in the last 3 years, showing that the administration’s policies on tariffs are having an impact. The CPI has shown a similar increase in inflation, but still within expectations in lieu of the current tariff policies. 

There is still data to be collected, with some speculation that the Federal Reserve may implement rate cuts in the future. Consumer sentiment has also shown increased concern regarding inflation and unemployment statistics, as trends have worsened following the tariff changes, leading to a three-month low in consumer sentiment.

Consumer Price Index
A key measure of consumer prices posted the biggest increase in July in six months, suggesting inflation is showing upward pressure from tariffs but maybe not enough to deter the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates soon. The so-called core rate of the consumer price index rose 0.3% in July to mark the biggest increase since the first month of the year. The core rate omits food and energy and is a better predictor of future inflation.

Producer Price Index
The cost of wholesale goods and services—where rising inflation tends to show up first—posted the biggest increase in July in three years, possibly heralding a sizable acceleration in price hikes tied to U.S. tariffs. The producer-price index jumped 0.9% last month after no change in June, the government said Thursday. The surge was a big surprise to Wall Street.

Consumer Sentiment
Fresh worries about inflation soured Americans on the economy in early August, underscoring lingering anxiety about the highest U.S. tariffs in decades and a further rise in unemployment. The first reading of the consumer-sentiment survey in August dropped to a three-month low of 57.2 from 61.8 in July, the University of Michigan said Friday.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

  • 15-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease of -0.04% with the current rate at 5.71%
  • 30-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease of -0.05% with the current rate at 6.58%

MND Rate Index

  • 30-Yr FHA rates saw an increase of 0.03% this week. Current rates at 6.18%
  • 30-Yr VA rates saw an increase of 0.03% this week. Current rates at 6.19%

Jobless Claims
Initial Claims were reported to be 224,000 compared to the expected claims of 229,000. The prior week landed at 226,000.

What’s Ahead
FOMC Minutes will give an indication where the Federal Reserve decides to still hold their “wait-and-see” approach. This will be followed by the PMI Manufacturing and Services data, relevant to the tariff changes.

The Pros and Cons of Mortgage Assumptions

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When purchasing a home, buyers typically assume a new mortgage loan. However, in some situations, a buyer may opt to assume the seller’s existing mortgage. Known as a mortgage assumption, this process allows the buyer to take over the terms and payments of the seller’s current loan. While mortgage assumptions can offer benefits, they also come with certain drawbacks. Understanding the pros and cons of mortgage assumptions can help you determine whether this option is right for you.

What is a Mortgage Assumption?
A mortgage assumption occurs when a buyer takes over the seller’s existing mortgage, including the remaining balance, interest rate, and loan terms. The buyer essentially steps into the seller’s shoes and assumes responsibility for the loan payments. Not all mortgages are assumable, as many conventional loans include a due-on-sale clause, which requires the full loan balance to be paid upon transfer. However, certain types of loans, such as FHA and VA loans, are often assumable, provided the lender approves the buyer.

Pros of Mortgage Assumptions

  1. Lower Interest Rate
    One of the main advantages of assuming a mortgage is the potential for securing a lower interest rate. If the seller’s mortgage has a lower rate than current market rates, the buyer can benefit from continuing to pay that rate. This can result in significant savings over the life of the loan, especially if the mortgage is relatively large.
  2. Lower Closing Costs
    Mortgage assumptions generally involve lower closing costs compared to obtaining a new loan. Since the buyer is assuming the existing mortgage, there may be less paperwork, fewer fees, and no need for a new appraisal or origination fees. This can make the overall cost of purchasing the home more affordable for the buyer.
  3. Faster Process
    Assuming a mortgage can be a faster process than securing a new loan. Since the terms of the loan are already established, the buyer does not have to go through the time-consuming approval process required for a new mortgage. This can be beneficial for buyers who need to move quickly.
  4. Avoiding Tight Lending Conditions
    In some cases, assuming a mortgage may allow a buyer to avoid strict lending requirements. If the buyer has difficulty qualifying for a traditional loan due to credit issues or income concerns, assuming a mortgage with more lenient requirements may be an attractive option.

Cons of Mortgage Assumptions

  1. Limited Availability
    Not all mortgages are assumable. Conventional loans, which are the most common type of mortgage, typically include a due-on-sale clause, making them non-assumable. Therefore, the buyer will need to look for FHA, VA, or other specific loan types that allow assumptions. This can limit the pool of homes available for purchase via a mortgage assumption.
  2. Seller’s Mortgage Terms May Not Be Ideal
    While assuming a mortgage can allow for a lower interest rate, the terms of the seller’s mortgage may not always be favorable. For example, the remaining balance could be large, or the repayment period may be much shorter than the buyer desires. Additionally, some older mortgages may not offer flexibility in terms of prepayment or refinancing.
  3. Lender Approval Required
    Even if the loan is assumable, the lender must approve the assumption. The buyer will need to meet the lender’s financial qualifications, similar to the approval process for a new loan. This can make the assumption process time-consuming and complicated, as the lender will need to review the buyer s financial situation before agreeing to the assumption.
  4. Remaining Seller Liabilities
    If the buyer assumes the mortgage, the seller may still be liable for any deficiencies or issues related to the loan. This is particularly important if the mortgage is not fully paid off by the end of the assumption process. In some cases, the seller may need to sign documents that protect the buyer from any future liabilities or claims, which can complicate the transaction.

Mortgage assumptions can offer significant advantages, such as lower interest rates and reduced closing costs, making them an appealing option for buyers in certain circumstances. However, the limited availability of assumable mortgages and the potential for less favorable terms should be carefully considered. Buyers should evaluate whether assuming a mortgage aligns with their financial goals and work closely with a lender to ensure the process runs smoothly.

The Impact of Bankruptcy on Mortgage Eligibility

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Going through bankruptcy can be a challenging and stressful process. However, it s important to understand how bankruptcy may affect your ability to secure a mortgage in the future. Bankruptcy, whether Chapter 7 or Chapter 13, can significantly impact your credit score and financial history, both of which are critical factors when applying for a mortgage. Despite this, it’s possible to obtain a mortgage after bankruptcy, though the path may be a bit more complicated.

Chapter 7 Bankruptcy and Mortgage Eligibility
Chapter 7 bankruptcy, also known as liquidation bankruptcy, involves the discharge of most unsecured debts. This means that individuals who file for Chapter 7 can have their qualifying debts erased, giving them a fresh financial start. However, filing for Chapter 7 can stay on your credit report for up to 10 years. Mortgage lenders typically look at your credit history to evaluate your ability to repay the loan, and a recent bankruptcy filing can be seen as a red flag.

While it may be difficult to secure a mortgage immediately after a Chapter 7 bankruptcy, it is possible. Most lenders require a waiting period of at least two years after the discharge of the bankruptcy before considering you for a mortgage. During this waiting period, it s crucial to rebuild your credit and demonstrate that you have regained financial stability. Having a stable income, a clean payment history since the bankruptcy, and a reasonable debt-to-income ratio can increase your chances of being approved.

Chapter 13 Bankruptcy and Mortgage Eligibility
Chapter 13 bankruptcy, also known as reorganization bankruptcy, allows individuals to create a repayment plan to pay back creditors over a period of three to five years. Since Chapter 13 bankruptcy does not discharge debts like Chapter 7, it is considered less damaging to your credit. However, it still leaves a mark on your credit report, remaining there for up to seven years.

The good news with Chapter 13 is that you may be eligible for a mortgage sooner than with Chapter 7. In some cases, you may be able to apply for a mortgage during the repayment period of your Chapter 13 bankruptcy, as long as you have made at least 12 months of on-time payments under the repayment plan. Lenders will want to see evidence of your ability to manage your finances while in bankruptcy and the likelihood that you will continue to make timely payments. After the completion of your repayment plan, you may be eligible for a mortgage with a shorter waiting period, usually around two years.

How Bankruptcy Affects Your Credit Score
A bankruptcy filing typically results in a significant drop in your credit score. The severity of the drop depends on your credit profile before the bankruptcy and the type of bankruptcy filed. A lower credit score can make it harder to qualify for a mortgage and can also lead to higher interest rates if you are approved. However, over time, your credit score can improve if you take steps to rebuild it. Making timely payments, keeping credit card balances low, and avoiding further debt can help boost your score.

Rebuilding After Bankruptcy
Regardless of whether you file Chapter 7 or Chapter 13, taking steps to rebuild your credit is crucial. Obtaining a secured credit card, paying off any remaining debts, and ensuring you maintain a steady income can all help increase your mortgage eligibility. Additionally, some government-backed loan programs, such as FHA loans, may be more lenient when it comes to bankruptcy and offer options for individuals who have had a bankruptcy discharge.

While bankruptcy can create challenges for mortgage eligibility, it is not the end of the road. By rebuilding your credit, maintaining financial stability, and working with a mortgage lender who understands your situation, it is possible to secure a mortgage even after bankruptcy. It may take time, but with careful planning, homeownership can still be within reach.

Mortgages & More, LLC
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Please feel free to contact me at katrina@mortgagesandmore.me with any thoughts, comments, or questions about my work—I’m always interested in making new professional acquaintances.

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